March 9-11, 2024 | Winter Storm Speculation

[MaineJay]

F it. Let's go for it, I'm not superstitious.

Ensembles

 

[MaineJay]

Tropical tidbits now has the in house ECMWF machine learning AIFS . Unfortunately, it's only has hour 246 and beyond this morning. I noticed the site was acting weird lately, so probably ironing out some bugs.

Here's the only 3 AI I think are worth using.

 

 

[MaineJay]

Almost too much consistency in the GEFS. Not saying these are wicked "alike", but lots of interesting "hits" in there. 

[StretchCT]

Good placement for the euro ens mean.  

But these are the temps

[BuckeyeGal]

Wondered who the first one to bite on this would be. 😉

[Sentinel]

Way too far out. I ain't breaking my heart. 

But the signal is strong with this one......

 

[Lazman]

Looks like a nice shot of sustained marginal cold air keeping things white on today's 12z GFS for the UMA.

Edited March 1, 2024 by Lazman

[StretchCT]

Tidbits has the ECMWF - AIFS now.

[Paletitsnow63]

12Z GFS & GGEM snow maps

 

[Paletitsnow63]

NAO, PNA, & AO still looking good for this time frame.

 

[buxtonian]

I just looked at the GFS model and it looks likes GLCs for the foreseeable future.

[Doorman]

 

Clues?

 consolidated coastal signal  18Z GEFS today - tucked in is a nice start ATM 

 

 

Upstream Ridge Building--CHECK

Tug and Shake your favorite Teleconnections over the next 7 days

that's all I got for now

dm

 

 

 

l

[ionizer]

not gonna hold my breath, b/c

 

[Doorman]

predictive skill ?????  🎱

 

"we still have time for this to come south!!!!!!"    LMFAO  🙋‍♂️

 

 

 

 

Edited March 2, 2024 by Doorman

[geeter1]

I know it's the GFS, but...😎

Spoiler

Spoiler

 

 

 

[JDClapper]

Cluster of 5ish or so members liking some measurable white in NCPA Saturday evening. So, 10%, give or take. Several other members with different timing/ways to get some snow too.

[Undertakerson2.0]

I guess we'll have to top the Tulips at some point😑

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

https://share.newsbreak.com/6amx7zqp

[RTC3-LAST CHANCE]

I mentioned several weeks ago, can’t remember if it was at the end of the last snow thread or in the long range , that this was the period to watch. Tele’s were hinting at it. Great, i still have a couple of trees standing from that paste bomb that came through weeks ago. This should wipe the remainder out. Looks like a couple of scud missiles went awry and hit us. Major spring cleanup project. Thankfully, he has a tree farm that we can take all the debris and bonfire it. 

[Undertakerson2.0]

12z GFS does a bit more than simple tulip topping in my zones; 😞 

Yikes - might go for  a "footer" 

The 10" of so, for my region, would make annual snowfall come very close to seasonal average 😮 

Edited March 2, 2024 by Undertakerson2.0

[JDClapper]

[Undertakerson2.0]

1 minute ago, JDClapper said:

Centered on Chez moi. OUCH

 

Edited March 2, 2024 by Undertakerson2.0

[Undertakerson2.0]

Surface temps are extremely marginal for nearly everyone though. Suggests a lot of white rain, or grassy area only accumulation. 

[Lazman]

2 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said:

I guess we'll have to top the Tulips at some point😑

Up in NEPA we call it onion Snow, and afterwards you can plant your onion sets......

[Undertakerson2.0]

They call it that here as well. I don't eat onions so I don't plant them and had to come up with my own take on the expression. 

I do plant Tulips and also have a penchant pertaining to penning alliterative prose. 🙂