Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 23, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 23, 2023 Two separate (but maybe somehow connected!) systems will affect the area Friday-Saturday, and then Sunday-Monday. The different models are, of course, handling them in all kinds of ways. We'll start the discussion gently as we're all still getting ready for the big doozy mid-week. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 I felt the need to take like a 5-second break from our upcoming storm to pop over to this one...well, been long enough. Now back to the other 😂 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxwatchman Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 (edited) Oops wrong thread Edited January 24, 2023 by Wxwatchman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harberr62 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Sunday looks intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Looking like a lot of rain so far in this range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Pghsnow said: Look at the hole over the South Hills. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pghsnow Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, bigben89 said: Look at the hole over the South Hills. LOL I know...😁 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Both these energies turned in to little ankle biters🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Hopefully the rain forecasts subside and preserves the snowpack in the region for a storm that matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 12 hours ago, Pghsnow said: I know...😁 Look at the hole over Pittsburgh this morning LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grace Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Personally, I think the 29th will be at least I-70 & north for snow...maybe I-80. The Feb 2-4...2 waves will be south of that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted January 25, 2023 9 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Both these energies turned in to little ankle biters🤣 I tried! Maybe we need to start naming systems again, lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow____ Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Im hoping something delivers while the door is still open. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harberr62 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 From Chicago: Quote Friday evening, our low levels dry out as well keeping things quiet through the night and into Saturday morning. In fact, we may be able to actually sneak in a little morning sunshine on Saturday. Even if we do though, it will be short-lived. Another plume of low level moisture will be moving in ahead of our next system. That being a broad area of surface low pressure underneath an elongated positively- tilted low level trough with a stout LLJ surging up into the Midwest. This system looks to be a tricky one regarding P-type given a potent warm front forecast to move through the southern CWA as well as a lack of saturation above -10C. I`m still awfully impressed how well models are agreeing on the track and layout of this storm. Impressed, but none-too-pleased since just about all model solutions point toward a messy system. In addition to P-type fun, models are also resolving a great deal of forcing through the low level saturation. Specifically, we`re looking at a good amount of synoptic- scale lift under the left exit region of the low-mid level jet max, a pronounced vort signature, and, perhaps most notably, an exceptional baroclinic zone with strong deformation along a tight theta-e gradient leading to distinct f-gen banding. This leads to concerns regarding heavy, banded precip including a potential for snow squalls. While it`s not wise to get too excited about such a thing this far out, there is considerable consistency among guidance. This is all to say that we`ll be keeping a close eye on this system through the rest of the week. As it stands, most guidance is throwing up everything from snow to rain to widespread freezing rain, all of which appear very attainable looking at forecast soundings. For now, I once again opted to go with all snow for the time being, though I`m sure that will change as we approach the weekend. The most likely timeframe for precip looks to be Saturday afternoon through night. Behind this system, a frigid airmass looks to bring much cooler conditions to the area early next week. Single digit temperatures and sub-zero wind chills are looking likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Harberr62 said: From Chicago: Friday evening, our low levels dry out as well keeping things quiet through the night and into Saturday morning. In fact, we may be able to actually sneak in a little morning sunshine on Saturday. Even if we do though, it will be short-lived. Another plume of low level moisture will be moving in ahead of our next system. That being a broad area of surface low pressure underneath an elongated positively- tilted low level trough with a stout LLJ surging up into the Midwest. This system looks to be a tricky one regarding P-type given a potent warm front forecast to move through the southern CWA as well as a lack of saturation above -10C. I`m still awfully impressed how well models are agreeing on the track and layout of this storm. Impressed, but none-too-pleased since just about all model solutions point toward a messy system. In addition to P-type fun, models are also resolving a great deal of forcing through the low level saturation. Specifically, we`re looking at a good amount of synoptic- scale lift under the left exit region of the low-mid level jet max, a pronounced vort signature, and, perhaps most notably, an exceptional baroclinic zone with strong deformation along a tight theta-e gradient leading to distinct f-gen banding. This leads to concerns regarding heavy, banded precip including a potential for snow squalls. While it`s not wise to get too excited about such a thing this far out, there is considerable consistency among guidance. This is all to say that we`ll be keeping a close eye on this system through the rest of the week. As it stands, most guidance is throwing up everything from snow to rain to widespread freezing rain, all of which appear very attainable looking at forecast soundings. For now, I once again opted to go with all snow for the time being, though I`m sure that will change as we approach the weekend. The most likely timeframe for precip looks to be Saturday afternoon through night. Behind this system, a frigid airmass looks to bring much cooler conditions to the area early next week. Single digit temperatures and sub-zero wind chills are looking likely. That's some big text. I thought my screen was zoomed in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harberr62 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Hmmmm not sure why on that…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted January 25, 2023 Author Admin Share Posted January 25, 2023 32 minutes ago, Harberr62 said: Hmmmm not sure why on that…. I fixed it. You need to use the little quotation mark when you paste those. It will open up a box and make it much easier to scroll through. 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 25, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 25, 2023 These overlapping event snowfall maps are a pain, but I guess its a good problem to have. Currently most favored area looks to be along I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 (edited) Moving this post to here, @BuckeyeGal might want to now shorten the other thread by a day so tomorrow ppl arent posting in there about the squalls Edited January 25, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Central Illinois Posted January 25, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 25, 2023 (edited) looks like rain for a lot of people here including me Edited January 25, 2023 by Central Illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 ECM take on tomorrow's squalls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 hours ago, BuckeyeGal said: I tried! Maybe we need to start naming systems again, lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted January 25, 2023 Moderators Share Posted January 25, 2023 (edited) First call from CLE for 7PM Wed (tonight) thru 7PM Thursday. Regional maps still have today's snow included...and go out thru Friday. Edited January 25, 2023 by Hiramite 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: Moving this post to here, @BuckeyeGal might want to now shorten the other thread by a day so tomorrow ppl arent posting in there about the squalls Technically the snow squalls are part of the current system. I would just keep the discussion there since its not really thread worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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