January 26-30, 2023 | "I Won't Back Down" (1-2-3 Punch) | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storms

[BuckeyeGal]

1 hour ago, Shiver Me Timbers said:

Right. I just see people using words like "bigger" and and "storm" in this thread and it made me think I was missing out on something

They are storms. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

The RGEM is coming around to the idea of a nice hit for I80 as well

[Ohiobuckeye45]

Edited January 26, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[BuckeyeGal]

Just now, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

🤴

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[easton229]

8 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

🤴

[ncinthenext3]

Hmmm.  Spectator zone.  Put me in coach!  

[Sentinel]

1 hour ago, Shiver Me Timbers said:

Thread should be renamed 'wishcasting thread for end of January.' 

 

2 hours ago, Shiver Me Timbers said:

I don't see any models depicting anything that could be labeled 'big' for anyone in our area over the next 10 days. Certainly not for central Illinois. What am I missing?

I would consider 6+ Inches of snow to be on the larger side (ie Big). The ingredients are in place for a potential larger event, though the models are not necessarily depicting that at this point. 

H5 matters much more than sfc depiction

[MesoscaleBanding]

Constant snow showers all day today & there is somehow less snow on the ground right now than when the snow started this morning - impressively depressing 😂

[StretchCT]

FWIW

[junior]

Yea was spitting snow pretty much all day. Nothing really stuck except to my car of course.

[easton229]

Aaaaaand NAM is north again for Saturday night. With the setup, I’m assuming this will be a nowcast situation and models will flip flop up until the event starts.

[easton229]

From DTX this morning.

[MaineJay]

16 hours ago, Shiver Me Timbers said:

Thread should be renamed 'wishcasting thread for end of January.' 

Attendence in the threads is not mandatory. If you'd like to discuss what's going on with the weather, you are more than welcome. But if you're aim is just to be a nuisance, and a whiner, maybe this hobby doesn't suit you.

  Understand, many folks here simply enjoy the company of others who enjoy talking weather, even if it's not "the big one".  They wait all year for the change to track snow, no matter how trivial it's may be, you can count me in that group.

   There are many endeavors that folks take on that don't always bear fruit, fishing, hunting, photography, mountain climbing, watching meteor showers, etc.  Does that mean that engaging in these hobbies/traditions is without value?  Perhaps not to you. Sometimes, often even, the journey is worth more than the destination.

[Cary67]

Short range models definitely north on Sat-Sunday event. Globals still steady but Euro did shift north with heaviest axis. Not surprising if this ends up north. Can't buy a decent event this winter although ORD finally cracked double digits. 10.6"

 

 

[Hiramite]

3.3" over the last day, most came last night.

[Hiramite]

Regional view.

[Cary67]

It may be a bit out of its range but 12Z HRRR lol

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Sentinel]

16 hours ago, Uscg Ast said:

 

I would consider 6+ Inches of snow to be on the larger side (ie Big). The ingredients are in place for a potential larger event, though the models are not necessarily depicting that at this point. 

H5 matters much more than sfc depiction

 

2 hours ago, MaineJay said:

Attendence in the threads is not mandatory. If you'd like to discuss what's going on with the weather, you are more than welcome. But if you're aim is just to be a nuisance, and a whiner, maybe this hobby doesn't suit you.

  Understand, many folks here simply enjoy the company of others who enjoy talking weather, even if it's not "the big one".  They wait all year for the change to track snow, no matter how trivial it's may be, you can count me in that group.

   There are many endeavors that folks take on that don't always bear fruit, fishing, hunting, photography, mountain climbing, watching meteor showers, etc.  Does that mean that engaging in these hobbies/traditions is without value?  Perhaps not to you. Sometimes, often even, the journey is worth more than the destination.

@MaineJay = Luther🙃

[Hiramite]

I added the SREF Tracker before & after comparison to the Jan 24-25 thread.

[beaver56]

13 hours ago, easton229 said:

Aaaaaand NAM is north again for Saturday night. With the setup, I’m assuming this will be a nowcast situation and models will flip flop up until the event starts.

They pretty much are all nowcast anymore. 😝

[Shiver Me Timbers]

7 hours ago, MaineJay said:

Attendence in the threads is not mandatory. If you'd like to discuss what's going on with the weather, you are more than welcome. But if you're aim is just to be a nuisance, and a whiner, maybe this hobby doesn't suit you.

  Understand, many folks here simply enjoy the company of others who enjoy talking weather, even if it's not "the big one".  They wait all year for the change to track snow, no matter how trivial it's may be, you can count me in that group.

   There are many endeavors that folks take on that don't always bear fruit, fishing, hunting, photography, mountain climbing, watching meteor showers, etc.  Does that mean that engaging in these hobbies/traditions is without value?  Perhaps not to you. Sometimes, often even, the journey is worth more than the destination.

All I said was "I don't see any models depicting anything that could be labeled 'big' for anyone in our area over the next 10 days. Certainly not for central Illinois."  

For context:  I have experienced about 30 days of snowfall this year. All but three of those days were wholly unremarkable, with little to no accumulation or rapid melting. There was no threat of anything big happening. Nothing wrong with discussing small disturbances or snow shower potential. It was the odd choice of words that threw me off. I was looking at model after model trying to find anything suggesting "big storm" potential. And there was none. So I commented. No need to get defensive

[Shiver Me Timbers]

22 hours ago, BuckeyeGal said:

They are storms. 

Hm. How are we defining winter storm? Is a rain shower a rain storm? Is a snow shower a snow storm? There were certainly no storm warnings posted. 

[easton229]

Seems like most models have come around to the idea of the bulk of snow from the MI/OH border to the top of the thumb here in SEMI. We’ll see if the NAM eventually follows suit.

[Sentinel]

14 minutes ago, Shiver Me Timbers said:

Hm. How are we defining winter storm? Is a rain shower a rain storm? Is a snow shower a snow storm? There were certainly no storm warnings posted. 

Move on. You've been warned.