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Grace

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Everything posted by Grace

  1. Grace
    I'm in the moderate...yay 😑
  2. Grace
  3. Grace
  4. Grace
    The European Seasonal model is interesting. It has the LA Nina weakening in early fall. July October
  5. Grace
    This event is busting. Not one single tornado warning right now & plenty of storms. I know it can change but....
  6. Grace
    Yea, parameters have really increased since the sun came out earlier in that area.
  7. Grace
    No doubt 🔥 That's my expectation. Anything not fire will be a massive plus. And severe weather for Spring of '25...go look up April 1974.
  8. Grace
    This coming LA Nina may make a run at the strongest LA Nina since 1973-74.
  9. Grace
    MJO is terrified of phases 8 1,2...lol. Ain't gonna happen. This played a big role in winter as well, but I know the Nino played a role in the MJO. It's all related.
  10. Grace
    The 500mb displayed is exactly what you look expect with a strong borderline east-base super El nino. The forcing out west though a curve ball & yet had an east-base result. This was a very difficult forecast with how abnormal so many factors were. I think the late streghtening of the El Nino instead of an early peak was the controlling factor when all is said & done. I'm so excited for another LA Nina while the PDO is already strongly negative. We might give 2011-12 a run for its money on a warm, sucky winter. If 500mb pattern is similar to that we no doubt will be warmer. 1973-74 has to be a top analog though. Next Spring severe weather might be through the roof. Wish we could get 2-3 consecutive neutral ENSO's. 😐
  11. Grace
    I believe the groundhog over any model!
  12. Grace
    I went from 15 inches to zippo in about 12 hrs. 😆
  13. Grace
    Unbelievable!! Twice in one winter! Never underestimate the power of the groundhog! WINTER IS OVER!!! And models are pure crap! 😃
  14. Grace
    It's pretty hard to believe any model right now
  15. Grace
    Black dot in West ky is where I live. 🙂 I've been NAMed!
  16. Grace
    0z HRRR is only fitting for this circus. 😐
  17. Grace
  18. Grace
    Or at 30hrs. Watch the heavy precept band west...last 4 runs
  19. Grace
    What's even more embarrassing is an ensemble suit should not change so drastically in 3 runs:
  20. Grace
    All the models have DGEX syndrome. What a joke!
  21. Grace
    SREF on its way SE as well. I do think & hope it trends back a little north
  22. Grace
    Congrats Tenn 🤯
  23. Grace
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  25. Grace
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