January 12-14, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm

[MesoscaleBanding]

Winter storm dart throw to help get us through the ugly pattern over the next week+ 🤣 

Three major ensembles all have a storm signal during this time frame:

 

[SNOWBOB11]

Might as well. It’s January. I want to be tracking storms not tracking high temperature records lol.

[FortySixAnd32]

2 hours ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Winter storm dart throw to help get us through the ugly pattern over the next week+ 🤣 

Three major ensembles all have a storm signal during this time frame:

 

My teeth still hurt from the last one. I can't bite, yet.....

[StormfanaticInd]

Models are hinting at something this weekend 

Edited January 2, 2023 by StormfanaticInd

[StormfanaticInd]

4 hours ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Winter storm dart throw to help get us through the ugly pattern over the next week+ 🤣 

Three major ensembles all have a storm signal during this time frame:

 

Subtropical jet is very active and we have a Hudson Bay block so it's possible 

[BuckeyeGal]

3 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said:

Models are hinting at something this weekend 

Yep.. this one might need its own thread. 

[StormfanaticInd]

5 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Yep.. this one might need its own thread. 

Agree

[Sentinel]

2 hours ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Yep.. this one might need its own thread. 

So Ms Admin....

[Ohiobuckeye45]

CMC and ECM 12z both were aligned on this at 240, but both were torchy to in the early stages

 

Edited January 3, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

Edited January 4, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

That'd be a pretty rare storm track from 4 corners to the OV then SE but I can see why 

 

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

giddy up #29

 

Edited January 4, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[GRR]

13 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

giddy up #29

 

How do you read these?  Thx

[Ohiobuckeye45]

14 minutes ago, GRR said:

How do you read these?  Thx

Those are each individual ensemble members snowfall amounts. That post was for humorous purposes only. Those charts are useful when there is an actual storm on the horizon and trying to determine how much support is there from the ensembles 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

GFS is a cutter, CMC and ECM still uneventful southern sliders

[bigben89]

So close, yet so far away.

[GRR]

1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Those are each individual ensemble members snowfall amounts. That post was for humorous purposes only. Those charts are useful when there is an actual storm on the horizon and trying to determine how much support is there from the ensembles 

So how much snow is #29 showing.  How do you read the numbers on that ensemble? 

 

 

 

 

[Grace]

0z EPS ensembles...there are a large number of really good ones. I was very surprised. I'm at least really intrigued. 

If this ends up being something then @MesoscaleBandinghas to start a new thread of desperation every weak. 😆 

Edited January 5, 2023 by Grace

[easton229]

Looked at the 06Z GFS and just closed my browser. I will not fall into the trap again at least until this weekend lol

[Ohiobuckeye45]

3 hours ago, GRR said:

So how much snow is #29 showing.  How do you read the numbers on that ensemble? 

 

 

 

 

those are purely cumulative snowfall #s recognized by each ensemble member

and just to show how eratic each member is from run to run those far out.....member 29 went from 17'' to nothing. So the point being the ensembles are more for guidance and looking for trends vs. latching on to any individual member

 

Edited January 5, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Ohiobuckeye45]

1 hour ago, easton229 said:

Looked at the 06Z GFS and just closed my browser. I will not fall into the trap again at least until this weekend lol

considering this is the ECM, I wouldn't say there's even a trap yet lol