November 14 - 16, 2022 | Winter Storm: OV/MW/GL

[Grace]

Signals of a potential winter storm have been there for a few days. Tonight's 0z GFS & CMS both have some type of winter storm. It's still a week away but is something to watch & potentially track. 

 

GFS has a much better phased system that could produce a good wet snow thump for someone if that type of solution pans out. 

 

 

😀

[Hassaywx1223]

Euro showed this the other day too I think as we get Nicole out of the way they’re picking up the signal exciting to just see a chance on the board

[snowlover2]

Brought this system up in the daily obs thread yesterday and how the southern energy was outrunning the northern energy on the 12z runs. Looks like we are starting to see them trying to phase better.

[BuckeyeGal]

Yay! So glad this was posted. I've been watching the overall pattern more than anything, and it definitely seems ripe for the plucking. Just gotta get the energies to align.

[Iceresistance]

Don't forget me! The snowfall signal has gone up BIG TIME for my area!

[beaver56]

Good to be tracking again!

[Grace]

41 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Don't forget me! The snowfall signal has gone up BIG TIME for my area!

 

Indeed it has! 

[Hassaywx1223]

Gfs might do it 

[Hassaywx1223]

5 minutes ago, Hassaywx1223 said:

Gfs might do it 

Just needs to find some cold air really need Nicole to get out of the way for models to handle this right 

[Grace]

[BuckeyeGal]

I'll take the 'meh' of the 12z GFS for this storm if I can have the 20th-21st system a bit more amped.. for $500, Alex. LOL.

[Grace]

CMC

[Grace]

13 minutes ago, BuckeyeGal said:

I'll take the 'meh' of the 12z GFS for this storm if I can have the 20th-21st system a bit more amped.. for $500, Alex. LOL.

Yea, I hope that system is for real in play. 

[Iceresistance]

6 minutes ago, Grace said:

Yea, I hope that system is for real in play. 

It likely is in Oklahoma! 😄 

[Neoncyclone]

I've got a feeling even if the GFS is right the system will end up 50-100 miles north like it always does and my 6" of snow turns into less than 1" 🤣

Edited November 9, 2022 by Neoncyclone

[FortySixAnd32]

I'm feeling 34 and rain!!!!!

[Ohiobuckeye45]

you guys have filled the first page of the first storm thread of the year in November with Nay saying already 😂

[Ohiobuckeye45]

ECM a bit more disorganized and less phased 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

beyond that, what month is it again?

[StormfanaticInd]

16 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

beyond that, what month is it again?

If we can get a snow pack down ahead of this -epo I think record cold could be in play

[Iceresistance]

Look at this! Please include the Southern Plains @Grace!

[NeXrad]

like Mariah every year after Halloween I’ve risen from the dead for another season of heartache..nice to see everyone back! 

[junior]

There appears to be quite a few iffy players in this setup. Was advertised a few days ago but was lost and now just recently models are showing it again.

Edited November 9, 2022 by junior

[StormfanaticInd]

The pieces are there but given time of year highly unlikely but who knows😁

[NWOhioChaser]

Wow, I was really caught off guard with this potential. With the above average departures lately it's been easy to forget that next week is mid-November. Think most of us will be reminded of that fact come this time next week.

Super excited to see what this winter brings though! I feel like with tomorrow's/Friday upper Plains storm and this threat we're beginning to see the start of the step down process into winter. But the fact that we're still seeing tremendous pushes of warm masses from the Southeast has me skeptical of this threat. 

Regardless, this is a big push forward on the beginning of Winter 2022-23!