Admin MaineJay Posted March 29 Admin Share Posted March 29 April fooling around. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 29 Author Admin Share Posted March 29 Move along. Nothing to see here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 29 Author Admin Share Posted March 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BossaNova Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 Norton has taken notice as well: Quote Very strong agreement between the three global "heavy hitters" (GFS, ECMWF, and CMC) regarding the development of a strong coastal low Wednesday into Thursday. With anomolously cold upper level temps, 850mb temps as cold as -9C, there are early indications that we could see a bit of a blast of late season snowfall across portions of southern New England, with a mix or rain closer to the coastline. Given this system is still ~ 5 to 6 days out, relied heavily on probabilities to derive the chance for snow, but the GEFS, Euro, and NBM probabilities highlight a 30 to as high as 80% chance of (10:1) 3" of snow and as high as a 30% chance of a foot of snow across the high terrain of central and western MA! Of course, snow potential will be highly track dependent, and we expect that these probabilities will shift over the coming days as confidence grows in both the strength and placement of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 29 Author Admin Share Posted March 29 5 minutes ago, BossaNova said: Norton has taken notice as well: April 1, 1997. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BossaNova Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 I remember it well - we got 30" from that. 2 days later we left for a week in California and when we returned it was all gone. Looks eerily similar but the theme of this winter has been too much warm with most of the storms - we shall see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 30 Author Admin Share Posted March 30 GYX Quote 00Z operational models and ensemble solutions remain in relatively good agreement indicating an area of low pressure will slowly move over the Eastern Great Lakes region by Tuesday night. Meanwhile, plenty of cold air to the north and the approach large upper level low pressure system will allow for the development of a secondary area of low pressure to develop off the Mid Atlantic coastline. This system has the potential to intensify and move slowly up and off the New England coastline Wednesday through Wednesday night. By Thursday, this system has the potential to become fully captured by the upper level low as it slowly forms a loop in the Gulf of Maine. Have gone a couple degrees below most available model guidance in terms of temperatures for this system. There is still uncertainty for this track at this long range in the forecast. Complex interactions with short waves in the northern stream over Canada early next week may very well yield differing scenarios moving forward. However, considering the cold air in place and recent cooler trends in the models solutions, accumulating snow remains a possibility at this point for much of the forecast area midweek next week. There is also some model to model inconsistency as well as to how far off the coast the system potentially tracks with the Canadian Model for the time being, the furthest south and east with the track of the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 30 Author Admin Share Posted March 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 30 Author Admin Share Posted March 30 Coastal areas have taken an absolute beating all winter, they don't need several days of winds blowing onshore. Tides won't be at their highest, astronomically speaking, but days of waves are gonna strip the sand. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 30 Author Admin Share Posted March 30 EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buxtonian Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 (edited) Interesting, this could be a real biggie and yet there is little interest. I guess, we Mainers are on our own. Edited March 30 by buxtonian 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wayuphere Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I imagine they’ll be pulling eclipse visitors out of the mud who decided to venture onto our secluded dirt roads to escape the crowds. Better know your road less traveled…😁 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 30 Moderators Share Posted March 30 From this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 30 Moderators Share Posted March 30 (edited) 12z GFS laying down some big numbers for higher elevations... Edited March 30 by telejunkie 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 30 Moderators Share Posted March 30 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 30 Author Admin Share Posted March 30 Plenty of QPF from the EPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 30 Author Admin Share Posted March 30 We haven't had widespread power outages in over a week, so a heavy, wet snowfall makes sense. 😒 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NHSparky Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I would love for it to snow sense Wednesday is my birthday would make a great birthday gift. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTC3-LAST CHANCE Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 8 hours ago, buxtonian said: Interesting, this could be a real biggie and yet there is little interest. I guess, we Mainers are on our own. It would help if we knew where Maine is 😧 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buxtonian Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 41 minutes ago, MaineJay said: We haven't had widespread power outages in over a week, so a heavy, wet snowfall makes sense. 😒 We have had two 2-day outages since November. Might as well make it three. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 31 Author Admin Share Posted March 31 Wonder if any houses get lost to the ocean with such a prolonged fetch. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 31 Author Admin Share Posted March 31 Waves seem to be worst from Boston up to Downeast. This is in Meters. 2-3' surge in LI sound. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Hiramite Posted March 31 Moderators Share Posted March 31 The "Blend". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 31 Author Admin Share Posted March 31 43 minutes ago, Hiramite said: The "Blend". Below I'd say 1,500-2,000ft and ratios could be half that, but 6-10" of heavy wet snow is still a major issue. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 31 Author Admin Share Posted March 31 Mt Washington is going to have snow on it into July, maybe beyond at this point... 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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