HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Lots of support for a system around this period, GFS is all over as expected at this range but consistent with a big storm, Euro has it as well. I belive has OFM support, cold should be running around near by to tap... 6z GFS Euro is an interior storm this run followed by another right away, fun time period. Let's get a cpl big snows before we are done! 0z Euro 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 Yesterday's 18z GFS... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 12 GFS is another hit, will post after this once it comes in on the follow up storm. Here is the storm on the 10th, the 2nd storm looms like it's still on its heels this run I'll post the 2nd storm when it loads on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 3, 2022 Admin Share Posted March 3, 2022 5 hours ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: Lots of support for a system around this period, GFS is all over as expected at this range but consistent with a big storm, Euro has it as well. I belive has OFM support, cold should be running around near by to tap... 6z GFS Euro is an interior storm this run followed by another right away, fun time period. Let's get a cpl big snows before we are done! 0z Euro I may be misreading, but I think OFM looks best around 15-16, but a few days wiggle. I'm also thinking the models sometimes "rush" things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 Here is the follow up event on the 12z gfs, and looks to even have another 3rd event diving in from Central Canada following this one. Very interesting period, I'd personally be disappointed if we missed out entirely and didn't get that least 1 moderate snowstorm here well NW of i95, good chances here and maybe even more to follow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 3, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 3, 2022 Euro switched to the earlier GFS look, but WOW did it bomb out. 940mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 (edited) 6 minutes ago, StretchCT said: Euro switched to the earlier GFS look, but WOW did it bomb out. 940mb 939mb verbatim on Pivotal maps 😮 Was just coming to post that as being a bit outrageous. Certainly, has our collective interest with that deepening aspect alone. Edited March 3, 2022 by Undertakerson2.0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 (edited) 56 minutes ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: 939mb verbatim on Pivotal maps 😮 Was just coming to post that as being a bit outrageous. Certainly, has our collective interest with that deepening aspect alone. -40mb in <24hrs. That almost hurts my ears just to contemplate such a drop. Edited March 3, 2022 by Undertakerson2.0 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 Like c'mon - really? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 3, 2022 Share Posted March 3, 2022 (edited) Yesterday's CPC Extended discussion mentions upstream - in doing so, gives us what we'd typically see as a cold response over into our region. Quote Over Alaska, amplified mid-level ridging forecast over much of the northern Pacific and the Bering Sea is expected to lead to unseasonably warm temperatures. No hazards are anticipated for Alaska at this time. However, the persistence of above normal temperatures over Alaska bears monitoring as the state approaches the river ice breakup season later this spring. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php Edited March 3, 2022 by Undertakerson2.0 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 3, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: Like c'mon - really? Twitter found out I follow weather, and now every 10 or so posts on my timeline are this image or very similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 12z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 3, 2022 Author Share Posted March 3, 2022 This is a very very active period with cold air running around, constant waves/ energy everywhere. Models, no question are gonna struggle on which waves of energy to focus on and when with the timing of cold rushing in and how far south. I'd expect total model mayhem from the 7th onward until further notice. This is 18z gfs gif for just the 10th to 13th: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 00z CMC seems to be the only one truly worthy of the Ol' PARD-on alert. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1816 Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: 00z CMC seems to be the only one truly worthy of the Ol' PARD-on alert. This is a family site. Not sure it's the right place to be discussing a pard-on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 2 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: 00z CMC seems to be the only one truly worthy of the Ol' PARD-on alert. Lol atm yes, but it's quite the alert, 0z Canadian gif. 2 big hits in 2.5 days haha. Idk if I've ever seen that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 0z Euro is close for the interior areas of HV and NPA. It's pretty wild that models are showing 2 big storms in 2 or 3 days rime period tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin MaineJay Posted March 4, 2022 Admin Share Posted March 4, 2022 EPS appears to have some rather deep members on a St Lawrence seaway track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PA road DAWG Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 3 hours ago, Undertakerson2.0 said: 00z CMC seems to be the only one truly worthy of the Ol' PARD-on alert. Haha damn right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 4, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 4, 2022 Little too warm for SoNE or MidAtl GFS is closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted March 4, 2022 Moderators Share Posted March 4, 2022 CMC nice hit in Boston, Springfield, upper HV, NPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 54 minutes ago, StretchCT said: CMC nice hit in Boston, Springfield, upper HV, NPA Not bad spot for now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted March 4, 2022 Share Posted March 4, 2022 1 hour ago, HVSNOWSTORM said: Not bad spot for now though. True, but a couple coastals were hugging coast a bit too much this year or too far offshore to impact the midatl. There were a couple but a lot more near misses or too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 12 GFS misses the 10th and the 13rh is warm for now, that would be super disappointing if couldn't get a storm out of either of these 2 potential big storms or anything following, as things look juicy through the 2nd-3rd week of March. Last March we got shutout with zero snow, which is not totally unheard of but it's quite rare around here. So if it happend back to back thatd be incredibly rare. Our biggest snowstorms of all time have come in March. I just want 1 big storm this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted March 4, 2022 Author Share Posted March 4, 2022 12z Euro, yuck. Would be such a shame to waste 2 big systems back to back, and just barely be too warm for each of them. Still plenty of time for large shifts in track with both systems being a week+ out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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