snowlover2 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 There appears to be a small disturbance that will swing through tomorrow night/Saturday morning and could drop 1-2" in spots mostly in the E IN/W OH areas. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 22 Author Share Posted February 22 Latest from ILN. Quote Fri night/Sat: The Friday into Saturday period will feature a potent S/W, which will pivot to the SE from the wrn Great Lakes region into the OH Vly around/after midnight. Guidance has trended slightly stronger with this feature, and its corresponding forcing, yielding slightly more in the way of both PoPs and potential QPF to contend with locally late Friday night. The narrow ribbon of sufficient saturation will exist on the leading edge of /much/ colder air, which will spill S into the ILN FA early Saturday morning. While the spatial extend of the pcpn shield may be rather small, the forcing is somewhat robust, suggesting that ascent within the saturating/cooling profile should be quite decent in the DGZ, at least for a several hour period after 06z. Current guidance suggests the most favorable track for a band of light snow to evolve from nrn IN through EC IN and WC and SW OH and N KY between 06z-15z, with most of the steadiest light snow evolving from 07z-13z within this corridor. While antecedent ground temps will be very warm, the influx of /much/ colder air with the transition from light rain to light snow will allow for some accumulation in the heaviest bands, especially on grassy and elevated surfaces. While most spots will see a dusting to perhaps a few tenths of an inch, there certainly is the potential for up to an inch in isolated instances, especially considering the time of day (night). Confidence is high in the prospect of having some snow move through the local area, but somewhat lower in exactly where that corridor will evolve. Snow should taper off from NW to SE in the several hours after daybreak Saturday. Although antecedent ground temps will be warm, temps should dip into the mid/upper 20s by Saturday daybreak for most spots near/N of the OH Rvr. Highs rebound into the mid 30s and lower 40s by Saturday afternoon as skies clear toward the afternoon and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 One of those wake up to a light accum on Sat. From thunder to snow nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 0z NAMS are a little stronger and a little more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 51 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: 0z NAMS are a little stronger and a little more east. Ha! Delaware county getting NAMed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Is this actually going to be a thing? Pavement sensors indicated below freezing temps and chance of accumulating (minor) snow overnight into early Saturday AM. Won't stick around long, but may impact roadways for a few hours late overnight/early tomorrow...anyone else seeing this here in central Ohio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin BuckeyeGal Posted February 23 Admin Share Posted February 23 2 hours ago, Wnwniner said: Is this actually going to be a thing? Pavement sensors indicated below freezing temps and chance of accumulating (minor) snow overnight into early Saturday AM. Won't stick around long, but may impact roadways for a few hours late overnight/early tomorrow...anyone else seeing this here in central Ohio? Jym Gahanl said 1"-3" with more to the South/West, and he's my go-to (usually). I think it will be minor but may cause some issues overnight (especially as people aren't really expecting). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffro Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 12 hours ago, BoroBuckeye said: Ha! Delaware county getting NAMed! PLZ NO. I was planning to go fishing Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 12z runs. Have to wonder if WWA might be necessary in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 (edited) It’s 53 degrees here and full sunshine. And ground temp is 46 degrees. It’s kind of hard to believe that we’ll see any accumulation on the surface. Like, it has to snow REALLY hard for it to stick. But I’m okay with that. I think I’m going to have my final goodbye to the winter that never was tonight. I’m just going to enjoy the sight of snow falling. I pass the torch to someone else. Edited February 23 by NWOhioChaser 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wnwniner Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 12 minutes ago, NWOhioChaser said: It’s 53 degrees here and full sunshine. And ground temp is 46 degrees. It’s kind of hard to believe that we’ll see any accumulation on the surface. Like, it has to snow REALLY hard for it to stick. But I’m okay with that. I think I’m going to have my final goodbye to the winter that never was tonight. I’m just going to enjoy the sight of snow falling. I pass the torch to someone else. at least in central Ohio, pavement temps projected to go below freezing around 4AM until 11 AM, so timing wise we may get some roadway accumulations. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 SWS from ILN. Quote Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 255 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 INZ050-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-080-082- 240300- Wayne-Union-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Delaware- Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin-Licking-Preble-Montgomery- Greene-Fayette-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross- Hocking-Highland-Pike- Including the cities of Richmond, Liberty, West College Corner, Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, New Bremen, Minster, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Downtown Columbus, Newark, Eaton, Camden, Downtown Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Landen, Springboro, Franklin, Wilmington, Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Hillsboro, Greenfield, Waverly, Pike Lake, and Piketon 255 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 ...SNOW EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING... Snow is expected late tonight into Saturday morning before tapering off. Snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches with local higher amounts are forecast. Given ground temperatures will initially be warm, snow will accumulate on grassy and elevated surfaces. However, as temperatures drop into the 20s, some slick spots may develop, particularly on decks, bridges, and overpasses. Reduced visibilities will also be a concern. Those planning travel should allow extra time to reach their destination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 ILN Disco Quote .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... For the remainder of this afternoon, a weak surface trough along with some weak instability will bring a brief passing shower to our far eastern zones before moving out. For tonight, high resolution models and operational models agree that a vigorous embedded s/wv will dive southeast into the middle Ohio Valley. This feature will be associated with a surface low and cold front. Models continue to indicate that low level frontogenesis to the left of the surface low track will be strong be relatively brief given the quick movement of the system. Moisture with this system is modest and not overly deep. However, the strong forcing, and a brief period of strong vertical motion intersecting the favored dendritic growth zone, will lead to a period of snow. The precipitation may briefly start out as rain but should quickly change over to snow as strong cold air advection in the wake of the cold front occurs. Given that ground temperatures today (including roads) are warm, this will initially relegate snow accumulations to elevated and grassy surfaces. The greatest axis of snowfall is expected along a line extending from northwest to southeast line, which includes west central Ohio, parts of the Whitewater and Miami Valleys, central and south central Ohio, and the northeast parts of the Cincy/Tri-State region. Here 1 to 2 inches are forecast with local higher amounts possible. This is where an SPS has been issued to highlight reduced visibilities and some slick spots developing late (and into Saturday morning) as temperatures fall below freezing in these locations. For the remainder of the region, chances of pcpn will be lower and QPF amounts lighter. Also, it will take some time for air temperatures to fall below freezing (after daybreak Saturday). Here, a mention in the HWO produce has been continued for snow accumulations of less than an inch and some slick spots possible Saturday morning. Winds will also increase tonight out of the north and northeast. With a tightening pressure gradient, some gusts up to 30 mph may occur, especially over northern and western locations. Lows tonight will range from the lower 20s north to the mid 30s far south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Here's some local weather history fun... 9 years ago on this date, it was -18F (air temperature, not wind chill!) 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 23 Author Share Posted February 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Too in the middle of the night for my liking to be melted by noon but I'll never say no to snow 😁 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted February 23 Admin Share Posted February 23 2 hours ago, snowlover2 said: ILN Disco Looking at the forcing in and around the area, I would expect a narrow band that will outperform expectations. Otherwise, I would say this is a rather minor event (as has been portrayed) . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 00z nams, kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 (edited) 00z or later Model dump Edited February 24 by Ohiobuckeye45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohiobuckeye45 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 This thing will be screaming fast through the area, I'd be skeptical of anything over 2" on models 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Some pretty heavy radar returns developing in northern Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 How will the sun angle be?! 😉 This should be a fun little one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 24 Author Share Posted February 24 10 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said: This thing will be screaming fast through the area, I'd be skeptical of anything over 2" on models ILN recently updated the SWS and it looks like they shifted the highest totals a little more north/east of the Dayton area. Looking at the motion on the radar i'm not sure i'm buying that yet. Motion right now appears the bulk would drop across E IN/W OH. Quote Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 941 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 INZ050-OHZ060-061-071-072-080-082-240800- Wayne-Preble-Montgomery-Warren-Clinton-Highland-Pike- Including the cities of Richmond, Eaton, Camden, Downtown Dayton, Kettering, Mason, Lebanon, Landen, Springboro, Franklin, Wilmington, Blanchester, Hillsboro, Greenfield, Waverly, Pike Lake, and Piketon 941 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 ...SNOW EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING... Snow is expected overnight into Saturday morning before tapering off. Snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches with local higher amounts are forecast. Given ground temperatures will initially be warm, snow will accumulate on grassy and elevated surfaces. However, as temperatures drop below freezing, some slick spots may develop, particularly on decks, bridges, and overpasses. Reduced visibilities will also be a concern. Those planning travel should allow extra time to reach their destination. $$ Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 941 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 INZ058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ070-077>079-081-088- 240800- Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll- Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken- Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Butler-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, Osgood, Bright, Lawrenceburg, Hidden Valley, Greendale, Aurora, Dillsboro, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, Independence, Newport, Fort Thomas, Highland Heights, Bellevue, Dayton, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Maysville, Tollesboro, Head Of Grassy, Camp Dix, Vanceburg, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Downtown Cincinnati, Milford, Summerside, Mount Carmel, Mount Repose, Withamsville, Mulberry, Day Heights, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Ripley, Aberdeen, West Union, Manchester, Peebles, Seaman, Winchester, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 941 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 ...SNOW POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO SATURDAY MORNING... Snow will be possible during the late overnight hours into Saturday morning before tapering off. Snow accumulations are expected to be less than an inch. Given ground temperatures will initially be warm, snow will accumulate on grassy and elevated surfaces. However, as temperatures drop below freezing, some slick spots may develop, particularly on decks, bridges, and overpasses. Those planning travel should allow extra time to reach their destination. $$ Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 941 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-062>065-073-074-240800- Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union-Delaware-Miami- Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin-Licking-Greene-Fayette-Pickaway- Fairfield-Ross-Hocking- Including the cities of Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater, Wapakoneta, St. Marys, New Bremen, Minster, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine, Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, West Jefferson, Plain City, Downtown Columbus, Newark, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Chillicothe, and Logan 941 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024 ...SNOW EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING... Snow is expected overnight into Saturday morning before tapering off. Snow accumulations of 2 to 3 inches with local higher amounts are forecast. Given ground temperatures will initially be warm, snow will accumulate on grassy and elevated surfaces. However, as temperatures drop into the 20s, some slick spots may develop, particularly on decks, bridges, and overpasses. Reduced visibilities will also be a concern. Those planning travel should allow extra time to reach their destination. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 About 1.5" down here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now