ElectricStorm Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 (edited) This is starting to get pretty ridiculous for January, but here we go again with the next system likely bringing another round of severe weather to the south/gulf coast. Day 5 slight risk is up. SPC also mentions potential for yet another system after that, so the active pattern looks to continue for a while. Edited January 19, 2023 by OKwx_2001 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 14, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 14, 2023 (edited) Nasty Dixie Alley-type hodograph here. Gotta watch for mixed-layer moisture to trend upward because if so, we're looking at another possible outbreak Edited January 14, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 3 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Nasty Dixie Alley-type hodograph here. Gotta watch for mixed-layer moisture to trend upward because if so, we're looking at another possible outbreak Can't see the image, I'm usually on the School Chromebook and Imgur is blocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin Sentinel Posted January 15, 2023 Admin Share Posted January 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: Can't see the image, I'm usually on the School Chromebook and Imgur is blocked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 May turn into a sequence with a few days expecting very little to no severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 15, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 15, 2023 Area average sounding in a east-west strip in N LA. Crazy hodograph. Easily supportive of long-lived supercells. Thankfully the warm sector is pretty narrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 15, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 15, 2023 (edited) Seeing quite a bit of talk about cold core tornadoes in the Midwest. Caveat has been that we're outside of the season where it tends to happen, but we have not been experiencing a typical January. Edited January 15, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 18, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 18, 2023 Seems like the best potential for discrete warm sector activity will be the next several hours imo. Looks pretty linear later on... though I'm sure there'll be some embedded vortices Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 There is a sneaky setup over Ohio on the 19th (Tomorrow) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Watching a relatively weak couplet near Pine Bluff, AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Tornado warnings are popping up now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: There is a sneaky setup over Ohio on the 19th (Tomorrow) Local met posted this for tomorrows storm chances. Could see a small hailer form in the early to mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, NWOhioChaser said: Local met posted this for tomorrows storm chances. Could see a small hailer form in the early to mid afternoon. There's also a tornado threat with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 18, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 18, 2023 Storm mode looks more favorable than I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Small area of marginal popped up over Western Ohio for tomorrow as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 18, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 18, 2023 (edited) Nasty looking discrete supercell SE of Little Rock. Right on the warm front so I'm not sure how much longer until it outruns the warm front. Edited January 18, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Storm mode looks more favorable than I expected. The one near Pine Bluff is looking really good for 10 AM standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, ClicheVortex2014 said: Nasty looking discrete supercell SE of Little Rock There is a decrease of CC, but it looks like it may be just noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 @ClicheVortex2014 I can't confirm this, but there is a debris ball-like signature with a tighter couplet on the Supercell near Pine Bluff, AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted January 18, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted January 18, 2023 (edited) 23 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: @ClicheVortex2014 I can't confirm this, but there is a debris ball-like signature with a tighter couplet on the Supercell near Pine Bluff, AR The key to debris signatures is to see if very low CC values (<75) are located with a velocity signature. What you're seeing is CC values that have been dropped by the radar beam being partially blocked by the heavy rain core of the FFD. When the radar tries to trick me like this, I try to think about where the radar beam is coming from and if the heavy rain or hail could be blocking the beam. This was a pretty good case of it. This is an extreme example of it, but I'm doing midnight shifts this week so I'm really tired so a picture is probably better than my words right now. Source: https://blogs.reading.ac.uk/weather-and-climate-at-reading/2014/upgrading-weather-radar-measurements-to-improve-flash-flood-warnings/ Edited January 18, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWsnowhio Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Things have gotten “slightly” more interesting up here in my neck of the woods for Thursday afternoon. Local Mets talking more about cold air funnels than brief/weak tornado threat mentioned by SPC in its update. Other threads are sharing potential snow maps for next week, and I’m all like, “ooh…January funnels!” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Nothing much right now, so far so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 Wind Reports with "Possible Tornado" tagged with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWOhioChaser Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Another cold rain night in the works for MBY. Lovely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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