Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Little "tweener" system possible between the two larger threats. In the interest of keeping the discussion cleaner for each, I'm creating this place to discuss it and its impacts. GFS/CMC say "yes" - Euro Op run is out to lunch. Would imagine both ENS sets have a mix of hit or nada 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 9 Meteorologist Share Posted February 9 If the euro is remotely right and we go full fujiwara like this will get squashed. I feel i'd rather have a clipper than a slop fest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Clipper races through New England, refreshing any snow pack they might get earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Don't worry if you miss the V-day system because you're too far north - this one can help your snow pack - might even put down more total OTG than some of us in S PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 DOA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 GG likes very much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 4 hours ago, bigben89 said: DOA Now THERES some slamming analysis 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDClapper Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z round up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 The little clipper that could, still has some moxie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 Don't mind me, just some thread maintenance... I-80 corridor... AGAIN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 More TM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 HH GFS GFS gonna go bonkers for the next one 😉 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Looks like I may see a little snow later this week. This looks like our best chance in quite some time. Quote 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Snow is still falling in New England at the end of the NAM run. This is the 24-hour snowfall at hour 84. Quote 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 00Z NAM still showing good snow for Thursday night inti Friday. It is still snowing at hour 84. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marathongoalie Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rickrd Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Not sure if right thread? But 0z GFS spreading some love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist so_whats_happening Posted February 13 Meteorologist Share Posted February 13 Now that we see the Euro is having some issues right now. This clipper looks rather entertaining! We may even have some convective aspects with this across PA late Thursday. I also wouldn't be surprised if this ends up a bit further south as well. Much better established blocking pattern and this storm hitting us is the 50/50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marathongoalie Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 With the way models handled today's storm, who knows where this ultimately ends up. Maybe snow breeds snow? Prob not, but worth a shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Undertakerson2.0 Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 Whyyyyyy? 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LUCC Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Looks like my best hope to see accumulating snow this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 NAM 24 hour snowfall totals at hour 78. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS 24 hour snow totals at hour 78 shows snow more widespread in MA & CT than what the NAM shows. Will be interesting to see if this storm trends southward like the last storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheRex Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 BTV's forecast discussion mentions that rations should run in the 16-18:1 range. It will be nice not having to remove concrete snow from my driveway. Quote SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 248 PM EST Tuesday...Quick moving clipper low remains on track to affect the region Thursday night into Friday morning. Ahead of this system, expect increasing clouds on Thursday with periods of light snow overspreading far western counties toward early evening as highs top out from the mid 20s to lower 30s. Model consensus supports a low track east-southeast across the forecast area with best 850-700 hPa warm thermal advection and frontogenesis focusing on our south/southwest zones, though everyone should see a light accumulating snowfall Thursday night. Snow should taper off fairly quickly into the daylight hours on Friday though some lingering, persistent snow showers will likely remain across the northern mountains into Friday afternoon. This will be a lower density snowfall with snow ratios generally running in the 16-18:1 ballpark, so while the Friday morning commute will see some travel disruptions, major impacts are not expected. Overall 12-18 hour amounts should average from 2 to 4 inches with slightly higher totals in the 3-5/3-6 inch range across the southern SLV, Adirondacks and possibly the higher terrain of the southern Greens. At the summits, 6 inch amounts, give or take an inch or so are certainly plausible by days end on Friday. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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