ElectricStorm Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 (edited) Day 2 slight risk up for a big positively tilted trough with decent shear, although not very favorably oriented, at least for overall tornado potential. Lapse rates look okay, not anything great but enough to get the job done, at least for December standards. CAPE looks solid for December. The HRRR doesn't show much for now but I think initial cells growing upscale pretty quickly is the most likely outcome. Could certainly see some QLCS spinups though. Overall not a huge event but notable for December. The HRRR actually shows some nice overnight cells in AR tonight, we'll see if any of those can actually form. Edited December 10, 2023 by ElectricStorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 (edited) Wasn't very convinced about the severe threat tonight but here we are, looks like we have a couple supercells and the one just north of Hot Spring Village could do something soon. Edited December 9, 2023 by Neoncyclone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Marginal might need to be expanded north some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Sun is out and it feels like storm weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Watching line to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 Could be a conditional threat for a strong tornado today based off latest HRRR runs and SPC discussion. New outlook should be out soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 95% chance of watch issuance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Wow looking like an early start to the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neoncyclone Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Wow PDS already today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 Bruh why did radarscope have to update the UI 😭 It was way better before, now the wording in the warnings is all over the place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Nashville TN 133 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 TNC125-161-091945- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-231209T1945Z/ Montgomery TN-Stewart TN- 133 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CST FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND EAST CENTRAL STEWART COUNTIES... At 133 PM CST, a confirmed tornado was located 9 miles southeast of Big Rock, or 12 miles southwest of Fort Campbell, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Woodlawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 PDS Tornado warning for a large tornado near Clarksville TN! Quote Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Nashville TN 151 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 TNC125-092015- /O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-231209T2015Z/ Montgomery TN- 151 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY... At 151 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Clarksville, moving east at 35 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Public confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. The tornado will be near... Clarksville around 155 PM CST. This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 1 and 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 PDS continues. Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Paducah KY 159 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southern Todd County in south central Kentucky... * Until 230 PM CST. * At 159 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 4 miles west of Guthrie, or 8 miles northeast of Clarksville, moving northeast at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Guthrie around 205 PM CST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Paducah KY 159 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023 The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southern Todd County in south central Kentucky... * Until 230 PM CST. * At 159 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 4 miles west of Guthrie, or 8 miles northeast of Clarksville, moving northeast at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Guthrie around 205 PM CST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 50 mile long tornadic storm (see the bottom here, 43 nautical miles) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 That cell heading towards Gorman, TN is looking nasty. Strong tornado potential there imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 (edited) Pretty decent band of heavy rain and maybe thunder just west of me in Dayton. Edited December 9, 2023 by snowlover2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 9, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted December 9, 2023 Baseball hail report in December... geez. Didn't see that one coming. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 PDS warning for Nashville... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 The one just to the north of it is also PDS warned now, I think it's safe to say today is vastly out-performing my expectations 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 There's a tornado warning just outside the watch in Frankfort KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 42 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: Pretty decent band of heavy rain and maybe thunder just west of me in Dayton. Yea surprised how nice this line is on radar. Good rains here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FortySixAnd32 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Some radar interference but this looks nasty!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ElectricStorm Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 Not looking good for Hendersonville, hope they're prepared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted December 9, 2023 Meteorologist Share Posted December 9, 2023 (edited) Really nasty signature. About 66 knots Vrot at 350 feet above ground Edit: Tornado emergency now with ~85 knots Vrot Edited December 9, 2023 by ClicheVortex2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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