December 13th-15th, 2022 | Plains/MW/GL Winter Storm

[Ohiobuckeye45]

The obvious

Edited December 9, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Ohiobuckeye45]

The GFS toys with the idea of some front end snow for the GLs/OV but either way there should be widespread snow showers on the backside of the storm, hence the OV tag

Edited December 9, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45

[StormfanaticInd]

This much high pressure surrounding the storm tells me this this could surprise 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

988, impressive, but definitely not uncommon for the midwest this time of year

 

 

[MesoscaleBanding]

12z GFS trying to drop 1-2" of snow north of I-70 in Ohio on the front end...I'm intrigued.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

how did we get to the point where the CMC finishes 240 hours before the GFS reaches 100 hours?

[Ohiobuckeye45]

24 hours gaps don't do justice to how big this storm is so there is a little overlap here

CMC

also, why can you copy paste pivotal images anymore? 😄 works for TT but stopped for pivotal, having to do the old school save and attach

[Ohiobuckeye45]

the GFS and CMC are so different lol

 

 

 

[NWOhioChaser]

Of course! Full steam ahead until it gets to SE Michigan/NW Ohio. Already beginning these shenanigans and it’s the first storm of the season to track.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

Its hard to even watch the GFS right now, its a pile of 🤎

[Ohiobuckeye45]

insanely progressive flow that run explains it, whether its right with that or not is probably up in the air

[Ohiobuckeye45]

it doesnt start off the way, I would be curious to see what happens if it flatten outs quicker...it might just due quicker, like it did here

 

 

Edited December 9, 2022 by Ohiobuckeye45

[MidwestWX]

12 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

insanely progressive flow that run explains it, whether its right with that or not is probably up in the air

It's been an absolute joy to watch the evolution of this system in model guidance. I'm extremely interested in how this one plays out imby and the implications in my CWA.

[Hiramite]

As Spock would say…fascinating.

What was once a mid-week post warm front fishing trip might need to be moved up to earlier in week.

Anyway, it good to see the snow chances increasing and the boards getting active!!

[Ohiobuckeye45]

GFS is the clear outlier through 102 hours (between these 3)

[Ohiobuckeye45]

haha, doesn't matter so much for our area but noteworthy

[Ohiobuckeye45]

wow 981 and it just stalls out.....ugh so jealous

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[SNOWBOB11]

That’s a 18” run for MBY. Fun fun. GFS seems well too suppressed.

[BoroBuckeye]

5 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

That looks like a really good add on to the snow pack!

[junior]

Definitely ain't gonna cut into Canada with that block up there. Transfer somewhere.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

GFS stuck to it's 12z solution, pattern flattens and it goes POOF

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[NWOhioChaser]

47 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

That’s just insulting…sorry folks NW Ohio is where storms go to die

[SNOWBOB11]

00z GFS still has the fizzling storm look to it. Interested to see if the euro/CMC go that way too or if the GFS is off.