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April 18-19, 2022 Winter Storm


easton229

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Seven counties in SEMI are under a WWA due to a quick hitting storm tomorrow. I just needed a place to air my grievances since it’s mid-April and we’re still getting snow here. Looking forward to the 70’s next weekend!

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Edited by easton229
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34 minutes ago, easton229 said:

Seven counties in SEMI are under a WWA due to a quick hitting storm tomorrow. I just needed a place to air my grievances since it’s mid-April and we’re still getting snow here. Looking forward to the 70’s next weekend!

 

I mentioned this in another thread, but this could be the 3rd consecutive year that Detroit has had a 3+" snowfall event after April 15th.  This is strange and historically unprecedented, but Springs just aren't what they used to be. 

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DTX already boosted those amounts in the forecast map. 

Not exactly a shocker... DTX likes to go conservative at first, then add a little more and a little more with each cycle as it gets closer to the event.  I mean Saturday night, this was just going to be a rain/snow shower mix with no accumulation. 

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ILN from earlier today - Mostly for I-70 north counties. 

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
327 PM EDT Sun Apr 17 2022

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-056-180900-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-
Champaign-Licking-
Including the cities of Kenton, Ada, Celina, Coldwater,
Wapakoneta, St. Marys, Greenville, Sidney, Bellefontaine,
Marysville, Delaware, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, and Newark
327 PM EDT Sun Apr 17 2022

...SNOW POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...

Rain and snow will develop across the area late tonight and
continue into Monday morning. The precipitation may change over
to all snow at times Monday morning with brief periods of heavier
snow possible. This will result in the possibility for rapidly
changing visibilities during the morning hours.

Some areas will also have the potential to see 1 to locally 2
inches of snow accumulation, primarily on grassy and elevated
surfaces.

 

Edited by junior
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Glad a few others have been watching this too. Something about those out of the ordinary snows… whether it be very early or very late season… that are kinda fun to see.

Will be interesting to see if we can get heavy enough precip rates to make the most of the situation in the super short window of time we have to work with in the morning.


 

 

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  • The title was changed to April 18-19, 2022 Winter Storm
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"Regular" snows are tough enough to predict, but these Rate and Time of Day dependent one are a real chore. 

A low of 29° last night, currently 30/31 IMBY,

CLE notes a trend to colder...

Latest guidance continues to trend cooler,
resulting in increasing chances of snow rather than rain,
especially across the higher terrain of NE OH and NW PA this
afternoon into this evening. Temps should gradually warm into
the upper 30s in at least the western half of the CWA this
afternoon, so expect a transition to rain or more of a rain/snow
mix.

As far as snowfall totals go, southwestern zones (i.e., Marion,
Hancock, and Wyandot counties) may pick up 1 to 3 inches of
snow, with a swath of an inch or two between I-90 and US Route
30. Expect higher amounts across the higher elevations of NE OH
and NW PA due to the surface low pivoting northeast across this
area - this is where moisture/forcing and higher QPF will be
located. Currently have 1 to 3 inches in the snowbelt region,
with locally higher amounts possible across interior NW PA and
in the higher terrain of Geauga County. Not confident enough to
hoist a headline at this time - as stated before, temps will be
very marginal and if the cooler scenario does not pan out as
expected, snow amounts will be much lower. While the higher sun
angle will be taken into consideration and will generally lead
to accumulations primarily on grassy and elevated surfaces,
snowfall rates may overcome this. It`s also important to note
that temps have been below normal for the last few days, which
may allow snow to accumulate on roadways a bit more efficiently.
Locations along the lakeshore may see snowflakes, but warmer
surface temps will challenge snow accumulation.

 

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Do want to forget the CLE snowmap...

(Looks like I'm definitely in the minority here rooting for snow, lol.)

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Edited by Hiramite
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ILN:

A long and extended mid-level trough currently runs from the upper Mississippi Valley through the Gulf Coast, with a band of precipitation covering a wide swath of latitude. This precipitation is a mix of types -- light snow in northern Illinois, light rain further south, and even some convection over Tennessee. A 925mb/850mb low is co-located with this trough, which is moving northeast into the ILN forecast area this morning. Boundary layer flow remains easterly, keeping advection neutral to slightly cold. However, theta-e advection is occurring ahead of the low just off the surface, which will provide the moisture to go along with the lift. There is no question that the entire ILN CWA will see at least some light precipitation, so 100-PoPs were used area-wide between 09Z-15Z. The crux of this forecast is the expected development of a band of snow during the 10Z-15Z time frame across the northwestern third of the ILN forecast area. There will be a relatively narrow corridor where the stronger mid-level forcing, theta-e advection aloft, and cool near-surface temperatures combine to bring a brief period of heavier snow rates (albeit with low liquid-to-snow ratios). One thing that makes this challenging is that this will be a developmental feature right over the ILN CWA, rather than something moving in from upstream. As confidence has increased in the temperature profiles and precipitation timing, the snowfall totals have come up slightly. This forecast includes a swath of 1"-2" along an axis from near Richmond IN to Kenton OH, and there is some potential for some isolated 2"-3" amounts in areas like Logan County, Hardin County, and Union County in Ohio. Impacts are expected to be relatively minor, with warm pavement temperatures, but accumulations on elevated surfaces (and grass) appear likely. This will continue to be covered with a Special Weather Statement.

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It’s been snowing here in north central, Indy area since I got up at 6:30, lol. 
Id guess we got a good inch of heavy wet snow coating everything but the pavement. It’s pretty much stopped, now though. 
People are losing their marbles 🤣

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Just glad this happens today instead of yesterday when my fam drove an hour to have Easter dinner with my Mom.  

You know it's the "new" Spring in Michigan when you're white-knuckling in snowy travel after mid-April.  

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heavy wet flakes mixing in here now, OBS from Marysville is a full changeover as well. Returns beefing up in the cold sector. For these next few hours I'm entirely back to winter mode haha

Edited by Ohiobuckeye45
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