Organicforecasting

The above will be Mizzou's entry to the website provided by CSU for multiple entities to show off their predictions. Speaking of which...they have 11 entries right now. https://seasonalhurricanepredictions.bsc.es/forecast/seasonal-predictions

https://seasonalhurricanepredictions.bsc.es/forecast/seasonal-predictions The site has 11 entries right now. We will be turning in ours soon.

Great list!

Hello, The word is already out and we are starting to see chatter about how the 2024 hurricane season is going to be like due to the transition from an El Nino to La Nina, along with a MDR that's off the charts hot! 2/20/24 Accuweather Article 2/18/24 CNN Article 2/18/24 The Weather Network Article 2/20/24 Pensacola News Journal Article 2/20/24 UPI Article Hurricane Names Alberto (unused) Beryl (unused) Chris (unused) Debby (unused) Ernesto (unused) Francine (unused) Gordon (unused) Helene (unused) Isaac (unused) Joyce (unused) Kirk (unused) Leslie (unused) Milton (unused) Nadine (unused) Oscar (unused) Patty (unused) Rafael (unused) Sara (unused) Tony (unused) Valerie (unused) William (unused) Predictions 2024 Season Wiki with all predictions Industry-Wide predictions (not up yet as of 2/20/24) December 2023 Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

It's getting busy upstream! 000 NOUS42 KNHC 271911 REPRPD WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 0210 PM EST SAT 27 JANUARY 2024 SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JANUARY 2024 WSPOD NUMBER.....23-058 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. 3. REMARK: THE TEAL 72 MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD 23-057 FOR THE 28/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME WILL NOT BE FLOWN. II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 A. 29/0000Z B. AFXXX 17WSE IOP28 C. 28/1800Z D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 30.0N 150.0W, 30.0N 120.0W, 50.0N 120.0W, AND 50.0N 150.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 28/2030Z TO 29/0230Z F. THE FIRST FIVE DROPSONDES WILL BE RELEASED PRIOR TO 28/2030Z FOR THE 28/1800Z SYNOPTIC TIME 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE 30/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME. 3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE 31/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME. 4. REMARK: THE TEAL 78 MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD 23-057 FOR THE 28/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME WILL NOT BE FLOWN. $$ WJM NNNN According to the European run, first ULL of interest that rides the top hits British Columbia/Vancouver 29th-30th of January. Next one hits southern CA around the 1st.

Time to start paying attention to the day 7 correlation metrics on WPC?

I appreciate it! I've presented to the AMS Annual Conference on multiple occasions, the NWAS in 2016, and multiple CPCDW annual conferences held by the CPC since 2014. That being said, NOTHING beats presenting to NOAA when we received 3rd place in the USBR contest as I stood next to great minds like Judah Cohen and people from Woods Hole, Stanford, and Microsoft. Amazing how far it's come since 2011!!! Not to mention having to make sure that people know it's my work and not a particular company in Central IN. The University of Missouri and I have another research project that we are working on. Our last one took changes in the Southern Oscillation Index and created analogs based on multiple criteria from ENSO state to how much the daily SOI changed over a 1 day and 3 day period. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7775 The next one is another analog project on the same style of changes in the Northern Hemisphere instead of the SOI. Between my supervisory duties at the Department of Veterans Affairs and the ongoing research with the University of Missouri, I don't get much time for sure. Even my presence on social media has been curtailed to posting selfies with my girlfriend when we get a moment to go out. Hey there! I appreciate the kind words and always look forward to talking weather with my friends from the forums that I've attended!

Which website is that?

Shoot... that's like going from Vicksburg, MS to Herman, MO! Almost due North....NNW to be exact!!

There isn't a proper emoji for me right now

Easiest way to find out is look at 500mb at hour 132 and go backwards to 0 hour.

My apologies as I was in a rush