snowlover2 Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 (edited) Well might as well go ahead and get this going. I thought the 4-7 period had the BSR support but it actually is this period. Below is a loop of the last 12 GFS runs showing a storm here but naturally it's all over the place being over 10 days out still. By the end of the weekend/start of next week GGEM/Euro should hopefully be showing something too and we really start figuring out what this is going to do. Edited December 30, 2023 by snowlover2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 We gotta run into something at some point. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 GEFS on board with some action (posted in winter disco thread)...Here is the Canadian Ensemble with potential as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 28, 2023 Author Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 This period does have potential. I mean one of these has got to eventually verify lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted December 29, 2023 Social Media Crew Share Posted December 29, 2023 Signal is there.. GFS has been showing something intense for quite a few runs. Hopefully something verifies.. would be nice if folks in the Midwest and Ohio Valley could cash-in too! Cutters.. one man’s trash, another’s treasure I suppose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoroBuckeye Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 3 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said: This period does have potential. I mean one of these has got to eventually verify lol That’s been my philosophy! 🙃 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 Plains bomb on the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 Just after this period at the end of the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 Just starting to come together on the 12z GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 Just now, snowlover2 said: Just starting to come together on the 12z GGEM. Potential is there... That said, with several pieces of energy preceding this thread's storm, it's going to be a while before the models have a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 Seems kinda messy on 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 End of the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junior Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 When ensembles support a storm in the LR you know somethings brewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 29, 2023 Author Share Posted December 29, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 1 minute ago, snowlover2 said: Wouldn't surprise me if the final solution is close to this - it typically takes a big ol' western GLC to help usher in a more favorable pattern for the OV. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 Arctic hammer follows the cutter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 30, 2023 Author Share Posted December 30, 2023 0z GFS pretty similar to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 (edited) 0z run leaves some energy behind for an hour 300+ fantasy storm - classic I-71 cut-off 😆 Edited December 30, 2023 by MesoscaleBanding 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 30, 2023 Author Share Posted December 30, 2023 2nd or 3rd run now that shows another wave slamming lots of us after the main storm cuts west. Something to keep an eye on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigben89 Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 8 hours ago, snowlover2 said: 2nd or 3rd run now that shows another wave slamming lots of us after the main storm cuts west. Something to keep an eye on. Big storms go East, right? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MesoscaleBanding Posted December 30, 2023 Share Posted December 30, 2023 Starting to look like this storm thread can be refined to Jan. 8-10...Will probably need another storm thread for the Jan 11-13 time frame if that energy continues to show up on future model runs as it is still a bit out into fantasy range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 30, 2023 Author Share Posted December 30, 2023 5 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said: Starting to look like this storm thread can be refined to Jan. 8-10...Will probably need another storm thread for the Jan 11-13 time frame if that energy continues to show up on future model runs as it is still a bit out into fantasy range. Yep was likely going to have to shorten the end date anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 30, 2023 Author Share Posted December 30, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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