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TS Irwin | Keeping up with the Atlantic

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Pacific can't let Atlantic one up them, so here is Tropical Storm Irwin - unless things go sideways, this is likely the only post from me on it as it should be weak, short lived and doesn't affect land. 

Much like the Atlantic storms in their earlier formation, Irwin's convection is mostly displaced from the center and a broader circulation is seen.


Irwins path takes it over water that usually considered too cool to generate storms, so no intensification is really forecast.


This is offset by shear which is pretty light in the area


Current forecast is for 45mph max and for it to eventually succumb to shear caused by a ridge building over it and increasing the trades.


INIT  27/1500Z 16.8N 120.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  28/0000Z 17.3N 122.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  28/1200Z 17.8N 123.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  29/0000Z 18.2N 126.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  29/1200Z 18.2N 129.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 60H  30/0000Z 18.0N 132.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
 72H  30/1200Z 18.0N 135.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 96H  31/1200Z 18.4N 138.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  01/1200Z 18.7N 141.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

Forecaster Roberts


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