Moderators StretchCT Posted September 4, 2022 Moderators Share Posted September 4, 2022 (edited) Javier was named on Friday ropical Storm Javier Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 300 AM MDT Fri Sep 02 2022 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM JAVIER... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 111.7W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES Discussion has it reaching 50mph FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0900Z 19.9N 111.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 02/1800Z 21.2N 112.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 03/0600Z 23.0N 114.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 03/1800Z 24.6N 116.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 04/0600Z 25.6N 118.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 04/1800Z 26.1N 121.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 05/0600Z 26.1N 123.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 06/0600Z 25.5N 129.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 07/0600Z 24.8N 133.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Roberts Edited September 4, 2022 by StretchCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 4, 2022 Author Moderators Share Posted September 4, 2022 Javier is expected to be post tropical tomorrow. Convection around center has ended. Spoiler Javier has been devoid of deep convection for the past few hours. Recent satellite surface wind measurements also indicate the cyclone has a smaller wind field than previously estimated and tropical-storm-force winds are only present in the northern portion of the circulation. Based on the ASCAT data the initial intensity is held at 40 kt for this cycle. The lack of organized, deep convection is an indication Javier is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone soon. The system is moving over a cooling gradient of ocean surface temperatures and into a region with moderate to strong vertical wind shear and lower relative humidities. Model guidance agrees Javier should continue to weaken and the official forecast reflects this information. The system is now predicted to be a post-tropical cyclone within 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators StretchCT Posted September 4, 2022 Author Moderators Share Posted September 4, 2022 Post-Tropical Cyclone Javier Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 200 AM PDT Sun Sep 04 2022 ...JAVIER DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.2N 118.5W ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM W OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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