Dec 31, 2024 - Jan 1, 2025 | New Years Eve Storm

[Ohiobuckeye45]

Not sure if this snuck up or what.....but definitely needs a thread, we have plenty of NW OH/MI posters for it. Temps will be tricky at the onset, but a 995 low, the NW side stands a great chance at a surprise

globals and short rangers both hit or miss on it, but I'd be more inclined to go with the short rangers here

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

if you want to get real crazy...

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

12z Euro...who knows 🤷‍♂️

[BuckeyeGal]

Where is @NWOhioChaser! lol

[Jpfalcon]

What do the snow depth maps look like? There will be some rain before this and surface temps have been rather warm the past few days - I have a hard time believing anything of significance is going to stick.

[Mar66rus2]

Local Mets have been discussing the NYE snow more and more. Would be great two get 1-2 inches before the 5-7 storm. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

992, coming in with a head of steam

[Jpfalcon]

Local mets talking about slushy accumulations, so not going to get very excited IMBY. We shall see though.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

15z RAP

 

[Ohiobuckeye45]

18z HRRR

[Ohiobuckeye45]

18z NAM and 3KM

Edited December 30, 2024 by Ohiobuckeye45

[Hoosier]

Unfortunately it looks like it could be a struggle around here.  It's a marginal setup to begin with, and it looks like there could be just enough warmer air coming in from Lake Michigan (midlake water temps are still 40+ from what I can tell) to keep things rain or at least more of a mix.  

[NWOhioChaser]

7 hours ago, BuckeyeGal said:

Where is @NWOhioChaser! lol

I’m here, lurking. 🙂. Just trying to absorb as much as I can. Not getting sucked in like I used to. 

Have to taper expectations. Evaporative cooling is the major factor in this setup. Will someone be surprised tomorrow night? Absolutely. But where it will setup between Kalamazoo and Toledo is anyone’s guess.

7 hours ago, Jpfalcon said:

What do the snow depth maps look like? There will be some rain before this and surface temps have been rather warm the past few days - I have a hard time believing anything of significance is going to stick.

I would like to think of this as a step-down  event going into mid-January. This one light snow showers. Slushy and mess. 

Ground temps wayyy to warm for more than an inch if rates are impressive. Urban areas in Toledo will suffer the most. Where urban heat combats the evaporation. 

Edited December 31, 2024 by NWOhioChaser