TS Nadine | 60 mph peak | Landfall

[StretchCT]

NHC has upgraded the area of disturbed weather in the W Caribbean to PTC 15.  Currently it has a broad circulation with an s in the middle. It appears that it will form into a storm if it has enough time.  Another case that depends on where the center forms.  Nothing to show on the models because the hurricane models don't have it analyzed yet. GFS has it onshore tomorrow morning as a 40kt storm. 

 

Edited October 19, 2024 by StretchCT

[StretchCT]

11 pm update forecasts TS by landfall

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/0300Z 17.6N  86.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
 12H  19/1200Z 17.5N  87.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
 24H  20/0000Z 17.3N  90.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 36H  20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

[StretchCT]

This has become Nadine as as of 8am ET was about to make landfall.

Having difficulty with 503 errors on the NHC site. But it looks like it's onshore now
 

Edited October 19, 2024 by StretchCT

[StretchCT]

NHC is back up. Official landfall. 60mph 

Tropical Storm Nadine Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152024
1100 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...NADINE MAKES LANDFALL IN BELIZE...

Satellite and radar images indicate that Nadine has made landfall 
in Belize, near Belize City around 1100 am CDT (1600 UTC).  The 
maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) based on data 
from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and surface observations.

A weather station in San Pedro in the southern Yucatan Peninsula 
recently reported a sustained wind of 55 mph (89 km/h) and a gust 
to 67 mph (107 km/h).

Tropical-storm-conditions are expected across Belize and the Yucatan 
Peninsula through the afternoon.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 88.3W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM S OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

[StretchCT]

[StretchCT]

[StretchCT]

Nadine looks better over land to me.  Weird. Weird day for the tropics. 

[StretchCT]