JDClapper Posted March 9, 2023 Posted March 9, 2023 Can't get past how luke warm EPS is, despite run after op run. Central PA, maybe an inch or two and its been like this for days.. NEPA, theres a few bangers in there, but majority are unimpressed.
Admin MaineJay Posted March 9, 2023 Admin Posted March 9, 2023 Ukie is a late capture, give or take 10mb deeper than yesterday.
Person Posted March 9, 2023 Posted March 9, 2023 17 minutes ago, dhtrip2 said: Is this even possible??!!! If I believed that I am indeed going to get 23.2" I might be considered a clown. Hope is poison.
clm Posted March 9, 2023 Posted March 9, 2023 37 minutes ago, Person said: If I believed that I am indeed going to get 23.2" I might be considered a clown. Hope is poison. Dang kids and their Crayola crayons. 1 1
Wtkidz Posted March 9, 2023 Posted March 9, 2023 17 hours ago, Penn State said: Track is decent.. where is the precip??? There’s no juice. Welll this 2023 so that explains why nothing coming to the left. No this not a political statement. Just the way it it has been weather wise. Normal setup there would be a lot of peripitation. This year nothing.
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 9, 2023 Moderators Posted March 9, 2023 2 hours ago, JDClapper said: Uh oh, a @Poco sighting! My guess is that there were some little japanese snowmen whispering in his ear.... 1
Moderators telejunkie Posted March 9, 2023 Moderators Posted March 9, 2023 (edited) I like the look of 18z RGEM at hr84...main trough looks to cleanly phase in with all the energy moving through the Smokies/Blue Ridge area. NAM at hr84 has that all the way towards DelMarVa and NJ area...a lot more disconnect between those two pieces Feel like I'd be much happier with the results of the RGEM.... Edited March 9, 2023 by telejunkie 4
Poco Posted March 9, 2023 Posted March 9, 2023 52 minutes ago, telejunkie said: My guess is that there were some little japanese snowmen whispering in his ear.... Ha, actually been pretty quiet over there. I think there’s finally sone Constructive tropical influence from the Mjo phase 7 to 1 propagation. A few waves worth of tempo will get a chance into third week of month 3
Admin MaineJay Posted March 9, 2023 Admin Posted March 9, 2023 2 hours ago, dhtrip2 said: Is this even possible??!!! There's a different between possible, and probable. There a lot of factors that would have to align to maximize the snow. 10:1 might be ambitious, perhaps during high intensity at night. There would also be a fair amount of compaction. Looking at the EPS extreme forecast index, it does indicate the potential for a high ceiling. The black contours represent EPS members that have highly anomalous snowfall. The colored shading speaks more to the percentage of members that agree. So in summary, the black lines are kinda speaking to the amount of "boom" possible, and the shading is the chance of it happening. 4
JDClapper Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 1 hour ago, MaineJay said: There's a different between possible, and probable. There a lot of factors that would have to align to maximize the snow. 10:1 might be ambitious, perhaps during high intensity at night. There would also be a fair amount of compaction. Looking at the EPS extreme forecast index, it does indicate the potential for a high ceiling. The black contours represent EPS members that have highly anomalous snowfall. The colored shading speaks more to the percentage of members that agree. So in summary, the black lines are kinda speaking to the amount of "boom" possible, and the shading is the chance of it happening. Nice. So 4-5 days out, where does it verify? Maine, MidAlt or a no show?
PA road DAWG Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 Hey @Poco glad you see you back whats your thoughts on this one ?? 1
PA road DAWG Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 Euro and eps keep the hammer down gfs not so much battle of the models 1
PA road DAWG Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 Wow! 18z euro was great. If extrapolated it would’ve been an absolute nuke 1 1
JDClapper Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 26 minutes ago, PA road DAWG said: Wow! 18z euro was great. If extrapolated it would’ve been an absolute nuke Well where's the pretty maps?
PA road DAWG Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 39 minutes ago, JDClapper said: Well where's the pretty maps? For this system only. Keep in mind these are 10:1 and inland areas, especially elevated areas, much higher 2 1
Admin MaineJay Posted March 10, 2023 Admin Posted March 10, 2023 Lots of energy pushing onshore. The pieces to our storm are in there, probably not well sampled, if at all. The more subtle southern energy seems more tricky, so it'll be interesting what it looks like when it finally gets over land.
Admin MaineJay Posted March 10, 2023 Admin Posted March 10, 2023 2 hours ago, JDClapper said: Nice. So 4-5 days out, where does it verify? Maine, MidAlt or a no show? I'd say they indicate a Hunter mountain jackpot.
CryptoWeather Posted March 10, 2023 Posted March 10, 2023 28 minutes ago, MaineJay said: I'd say they indicate a Hunter mountain jackpot. That's where I grew up. Long Island sucks for snow. Hard watching my home town get all the snow. 1
Social Media Crew Penn State Posted March 10, 2023 Author Social Media Crew Posted March 10, 2023 I know the primary focus will be on the interior parts of SNE / NE.. but this is still a nice light, long duration event for parts of PA, MD, VA, etc. I hate to miss out on the big stuff, but 3–4” is a top ranking snowfall this winter lol 1
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