February 21-24, 2023 | Plains/MW/GL Winter Storm/Blizzard

[Pghsnow]

22 minutes ago, MesoscaleBanding said:

Getting ready to hoist the white flag...

 

[Iceresistance]

This looks to be a terrifying storm complex to create an insane amount of snow for @SoDakFarmer.

 

I know someone living in UP Michigan.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[Ohiobuckeye45]

quite a monster.......thats going to miss 95%+ of the forum lol

Edited February 16, 2023 by Ohiobuckeye45

[SNOWBOB11]

The storm today trended a lot weaker and more south than it was showing up 5-7 days ago. It will be interesting to see if this one does the same. Right now it’s showing a snow to ice event for my area. Bit more south and it would be a good all snow track.

[MidMichiganWx]

4 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

quite a monster.......thats going to miss 95%+ of the forum lol

story of this winter unfortunately lol

[MidMichiganWx]

Could be a sizeable ice storm w/ this event. Hard pass on that. 

[Guest]

22 hours ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

If this materializes then it will be the 3rd week in a row with a storm system lifting into the great lakes region on a Thursday #theme. I'm hoping it's lucky #3 since the first 2 were total duds UP here. In fact it rained so much with #2 they had to cancel sled dog races for the first time in the races 33 year history:

https://www.uppermichiganssource.com/2023/02/15/up-200-midnight-run-jack-pine-30-canceled-due-weather/?outputType=amp

Edited February 17, 2023 by StLweatherjunkie

[Guest]

11 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

This looks to be a terrifying storm complex to create an insane amount of snow for @SoDakFarmer.

 

I know someone living in UP Michigan.

Pass 😁

[Iceresistance]

10 hours ago, SoDakFarmer said:

Pass 😁

I'm afraid to say that this is too good and too much to pass up for you.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

pretty safe to write this one off for anyone south of I-80

[Ohiobuckeye45]

but damn what a freakin monster

 

[MidMichiganWx]

3 minutes ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

but damn what a freakin monster

 

1 day before it'll be down to a 2-4" event probably lol

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[Guest]

Based on 00z ECMWF guidance:

[SNOWBOB11]

1 hour ago, Ohiobuckeye45 said:

Man euro looks great. Different looking snow map with such a distinct west to east Canada/USA border snow swath.

[Iceresistance]

How much would anyone want to go snow chasing in the Dakotas to Michigan and Maine?

[SNOWBOB11]

12z euro similar to 00z. Although I like the outcome I’m having a hard time trusting the track. I believed a more cutter type track or a weaker more south track is more possible. Models will probably start shifting over the weekend to one of those solutions.

[Ohiobuckeye45]

what a storm 😮

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[MidwestWX]

Fine you've woken me up from my mid Winter slumber. After two record rain events the past month it's about time for some snow!

This is an especially tricky setup/pattern but there is a particularly large window to make something happen across the upper Midwest. Let's take it a day at a time and enjoy the journey. 

[Guest]

Well this is an impressive temperature gradient ... Record warmth possible from New Orleans to Indianapolis to Columbus and near record cold across most of NE, SD, ND, and points west.

Also seems like a strong signal for 2 waves with this storm. The leading wave associated with the Baja low ejecting onto the plains then the secondary system hot on it's heels:

12z EPS snow maps:

Edited February 18, 2023 by StLweatherjunkie

[Ohiobuckeye45]

[MidMichiganWx]

GFS was stubborn with this past storm and it's north track so I'm hoping for a blend of that with the Euro. CMC has the low tracking through northern Ohio.

Definitely one worth watching. Sorry to all of my OV folks as I can't imagine it shifting that far south but who knows. 

[Ohiobuckeye45]