December 12-14, 2022 | Significant Tornado Outbreak

[Iceresistance]

16 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Didn't age well. Tornado warning expired but the meso is still there.

The storm mode for this one is very messy.

[Iceresistance]

There is a tornado on the ground in Florida

[1816]

1 minute ago, Iceresistance said:

There is a tornado on the ground in Florida

[ClicheVortex2014]

SPC's talking about an uptick in activity in the risk for more supercells in the coming hours

   Mesoscale Discussion 2038
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0703 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022

   Areas affected...portions of the Florida panhandle southwest Georgia
   and southern Alabama

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 589...

   Valid 150103Z - 150300Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 589 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat is forecast to gradually increase across
   western Florida and southern AL over the next couple of hours.
   Damaging gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible. Additional
   supercells may move onshore from the northern Gulf later this
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Across the FL Panhandle and southern AL, convection has
   increased in coverage and intensity over the last hour with a few
   supercells showing sustained low-level rotation. Short-term model
   guidance suggests this trend will likely continue as the axis of the
   low-level jet shifts eastward with the main shortwave trough
   tonight. Area VAD/VWPS already hint at a 10-15 kt strengthening in
   the wind fields showing increasing shear in the lowest 2-3 km.
   Regional IR satellite trends also suggest deepening convection in
   the northern Gulf, ahead of the main convective line further west,
   may also evolve into supercells as it moves onshore in the next
   couple of hours. With the moist, unstable (~1000 J/kg MLCAPE) and
   strongly sheared environment already favorable for supercells (ESRH
   250+ m2/s2), additional storms and increasing deep-layer shear
   suggest an uptick in the risk for supercells capable of damaging
   gusts and a few tornadoes in the next couple of hours.

 

Edited December 15, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014

[Iceresistance]

7 minutes ago, 1816 said:

Sorry about that, it was in Liberty County, near Tallahassee

[ElectricStorm]

CC drop on the tor warned cell in FL 

[ClicheVortex2014]

Debris signature SW of Tallahassee

 

[ClicheVortex2014]

Crazy footage

 

[ClicheVortex2014]

New supercell on shore now

 

[ClicheVortex2014]

2 classic discrete supercells. One north east of Destin, the other south of Tallahassee. Currently trying to fall asleep so who knows when that’ll happen

~100 mile difference between the two so the Tallahassee cell could go on for hours as long as it stays discrete. Can’t imagine it would die off on its own since it’s in the warm sector and better forcing is approaching. I hope I won’t be awake to find out.

Edited December 15, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014

[Neoncyclone]

 

[ElectricStorm]

That cell about to make landfall near Mexico Beach needs to be watched. Could be a waterspout there 

[Neoncyclone]

Beautiful watching all those discrete storms grow upscale into the squall

Edited December 15, 2022 by Neoncyclone

[ClicheVortex2014]

On 12/12/2022 at 9:18 PM, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Beasts

We’ve confirmed the southwest supercell here produced 2 brief tornadoes based on spotters confirmation/pictures. The first tornado happened 3 mins after this screen grab… the second was about 20 minutes later.
 

There were no reports of damage from the first tornado, but the second one was pictured over a road from a distance that had a power line but there are no reports of downed power lines. 
 

As it says, we strongly suspect this supercell produced more than 2 tornadoes based on radar/cyclic nature of the supercell but we have no proof or confirmation from spotters, obviously no reports of damage either.
 

There were 6 tornado warnings from this event, and I guess someone was keeping tabs this year and apparently the office had only issued 6 tornado warnings until that event. So, half of the tornado warnings in 2022 in the panhandles came on a single day in December. Another Meteorologist started 2 weeks before I did, and he’s from Dallas. I joked that we’re responsible for this event, considered highly anomalous here, and the spring is gonna be a record breaker

NOUS44 KAMA 141925
PNSAMA
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-152000-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
125 PM CST Wed Dec 14 2022


...NWS Damage Survey for 12/12/222 Tornado Event...

.Overview...A vigorous upper level storm system crossing the
plains combined with very strong wind shear and modest instability
to create an environment capable of supporting supercell
tornadoes and isolated tornadoes during the evening hours across
the northeast texas and eastern Oklahoma Panhandle. One supercell
generated at least 2 brief tornadoes which did not produce
damage, but were documented with video and photographs by storm
chasers a few residents in the area.

.Southeast of Balko...

Rating:                 EF-U
Estimated Peak Wind:    Unknown
Path Length /statute/:  1.2 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   50 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             12/12/2022
Start Time:             09:21 PM CST
Start Location:         1 SE Balko / Beaver County / OK
Start Lat/Lon:          36.6188 / -100.6606

End Date:               12/12/2022
End Time:               09:23 PM CST
End Location:           2 E Balko / Beaver County / OK
End Lat/Lon:            36.629 / -100.6426

Survey Summary:
Tornado track was estimated based on photos and eye witness
accounts. The tornado was moving northeast and was on the ground
for just under 2 minutes. No damage was found, however the
tornado didn`t encounter any damage indicators along the path as
it remained in open grasslands. Given the lack of damage
indicators, an unknown rating has been assigned.

.South of Beaver...

Rating:                 EF0
Estimated Peak Wind:    80 mph
Path Length /statute/:  0.7 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   50 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             12/12/2022
Start Time:             09:38 PM CST
Start Location:         4 N Elmwood / Beaver County / OK
Start Lat/Lon:          36.6843 / -100.524

End Date:               12/12/2022
End Time:               09:39 PM CST
End Location:           4 N Elmwood / Beaver County / OK
End Lat/Lon:            36.6885 / -100.5133

Survey Summary:
This tornado was documented by multiple storm chasers with photos
and video as it crossed US270 south of Beaver, Oklahoma. The
tornado was on the ground for approximately 1 minute. With no
damage reported to the power lines that the tornado crossed along
the highway and no other damage indicators along the path which
remained in open grassland areas, the tornado was rated an EF0.
The track and width were estimated based on eye witness reports,
radar signatures and photographs.

 

Edited December 15, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014

[NWOhioChaser]

Do we have a preliminary report of the account tornado count as of this morning? 

That one north of Destin caught me off guard. Have some family down there but they were reporting that they were safe.

[ClicheVortex2014]

1 minute ago, NWOhioChaser said:

Do we have a preliminary report of the account tornado count as of this morning? 

That one north of Destin caught me off guard. Have some family down there but they were reporting that they were safe.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_December_12–15,_2022

[Chinook]

newest prelims

Dec. 12: 3

Dec. 13: 34

Dec. 14: 45 

Dec. 15: 1

Edited December 16, 2022 by Chinook

[Chinook]

storm reports plotted for all NWS offices that had severe weather reports (not snowy). Sub-58mph wind reports and sub-1.00" hail may be included, along with floods, waterspouts, rain reports

 

Edited December 16, 2022 by Chinook

[Chinook]

this tweeted by Jim Cantore

 

[ClicheVortex2014]

On 12/13/2022 at 9:25 AM, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Definitely not surprised severe storms/tornado warnings popped off around DFW. Classic loaded gun sounding.

Sooo.... 15 tornadoes resulted from this sounding

 

[ClicheVortex2014]

60 tornadoes have been confirmed so far, and I think they’re still surveying. Total of 111 tornado reports right now.

This would be a far more newsworthy if we didn’t just have the 2 largest December tornado outbreaks in recorded history last year.

So now the top-3 December tornado outbreaks have happened in 2021 and 2022

Edited December 18, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014