ElectricStorm Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Quote Mesoscale Discussion 0400 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0918 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022 Areas affected...North-Central TX Concerning...Tornado Watch 92... Valid 050218Z - 050415Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 92 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues across north-central Texas. DISCUSSION...Weak surface low appears to be evolving just southwest of the Metroplex with an attendant warm front extending downstream just south of the Red River into southwest AR. Warm advection, and higher SRH values will remain concentrated along this corridor as mid 60s surface dew points advance north of I-20 into this region. A complex MCS has evolved north of the Metroplex this evening with embedded supercell over northern Collin County. While some large hail has been noted with the stronger cores, and continues to be a threat, the risk for tornadoes may actually increase over the next few hours, especially with more discrete updrafts, as better moisture advances into the stronger low-level shear. ..Darrow.. 04/05/2022
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Posted April 5, 2022 Low-level shear is pretty weak still but it has strengthened
Iceresistance Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Radar is showing a Mini Bow Echo NE of DFW & north of I-20
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Posted April 5, 2022 (edited) Possible two spinup tornadoes near FWD radar Edited April 5, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014
ElectricStorm Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 1 minute ago, ClicheVortex2014 said: Possible two spinup tornadoes near FWD radar Yep just went tor warned
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Posted April 5, 2022 Ok so it was actually a supercell with a mesovortex plus the tornadic circulation. Mesovortex circulation went away but... yeah. Debris signature
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Posted April 5, 2022 Beast 1
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Posted April 5, 2022 Big picture shows that if it's in the warm sector, it can go severe. Also shows a possible rear inflow jet in NE TX. Good sign of a maturing MCS.
Meteorologist ClicheVortex2014 Posted April 5, 2022 Author Meteorologist Posted April 5, 2022 Healthy MCS. Embedded supercell on the southern end.
Neoncyclone Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Just woke up, already an embedded supercell that has producing a damaging tornado, i almost missed it
snowlover2 Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, Neoncyclone said: Just woke up, already an embedded supercell that has producing a damaging tornado, i almost missed it It’s actually PDS warned right now. 1
Neoncyclone Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 (edited) Looks like the storm cycled and has a PDS tornado warning now. Edited April 5, 2022 by Neoncyclone Pds warned
Neoncyclone Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 (edited) Next scan will tell for sure but pretty sure the other tornado wanred storm has dropped a probably brief tornado EDIT: It's confirmed Edited April 5, 2022 by Neoncyclone
Neoncyclone Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 The tornadic storm to the north still has a confirmed tornado doing damage again as well.
Neoncyclone Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Discrete supercell ahead of the line north of Greenville, AL, rotation getting stronger.
ElectricStorm Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 CC drop near Wetumpka NE of Montgomery. Tornado likely on the ground 2
ElectricStorm Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Southern cell has a debris ball probably a large tornado on the ground
Neoncyclone Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Possibly large tornado near Orion, might get a pds warning looks like a good candidate.
Iceresistance Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Neoncyclone said: Might be two tornadoes The Southern Circulation already has a Debris ball. 1
Iceresistance Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 45% Wind threat in Georgia & Alabama, but it's a Enhanced risk? I'm confused
ElectricStorm Posted April 5, 2022 Posted April 5, 2022 Just now, Iceresistance said: 45% Wind threat in Georgia & Alabama, but it's a Enhanced risk? I'm confused Unhatched 45 is still enhanced. It's not used very much so it can be a bit confusing. 45 hatched is moderate and they use that more. 2
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