April 3-6, 2022 | Tornado Outbreak

[Iceresistance]

Ping Pong Ball sized hail reported on US-77 near Wayne

[ClicheVortex2014]

A splitting supercell day in florida 

[ElectricStorm]

First watch up

 

[ClicheVortex2014]

Doesn't appear HRRR is handling current convection well. Basically shouldn't have any strong convection until 2 hours from now.

(side note: check out the left moving supercells in SW TX! That'll be interesting)

 

Dunno about you but this cell looks pretty healthy to me

 

[Iceresistance]

22 minutes ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Doesn't appear HRRR is handling current convection well. Basically shouldn't have any strong convection until 2 hours from now.

(side note: check out the left moving supercells in SW TX! That'll be interesting)

 

Dunno about you but this cell looks pretty healthy to me

 

Already a CC drop?

[ClicheVortex2014]

8 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Already a CC drop?

That's just very heavy rain blocking the radar beam.

Tornado threat is very low due to very weak low-level winds and high LCL. It should go up when the nocturnal LLJ kicks in in like 2 hours.

Edited April 4, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014

[ClicheVortex2014]

Got a bowing segment already. The beginning of this MCS's trip to the Atlantic has begun

Edited April 4, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014

[Iceresistance]

Had an INSANE Thunderbang from a Positive Strike not too long ago, had a severe jumpscare from that!

[ClicheVortex2014]

Tornado watch increasing

  Mesoscale Discussion 0398
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0625 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022

   Areas affected...Central/North-Central Texas and extreme
   South-Central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

   Valid 042325Z - 050100Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Tornado watch will likely be issued by 0030-0100z for
   portions of Central/North-Central Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Moist boundary-layer surge, characterized by mid 60s
   surface dew points, is advancing north across central TX and will
   soon spread into the Metroplex. Latest satellite and radar imagery
   support this with scattered showers now evident just east of Waco
   into Ellis County. Given the approaching short wave there is
   increasing concern that scattered supercells will evolve within this
   more buoyant, and strongly sheared environment. Current thinking is
   the warm frontal position may not advance appreciably north from its
   current position and given the amount of convection observed over
   southern OK this seems reasonable. As LLJ strengthens into the
   Arklatex this evening there is increasing concern for the potential
   for tornadoes. Tornado watch will likely be warranted by 01z across
   this region.

 

[Iceresistance]

Another crazy Thunderbang, but it's nothing compared to the first one that caused a severe jumpscare

[ClicheVortex2014]

2 hours ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

Doesn't appear HRRR is handling current convection well. Basically shouldn't have any strong convection until 2 hours from now.

(side note: check out the left moving supercells in SW TX! That'll be interesting)

 

Dunno about you but this cell looks pretty healthy to me

 

Anticyclonic/left-moving supercell in SW TX verified

[Iceresistance]

3rd Thunderbang, Shook the ENTIRE house!

[Iceresistance]

I'm now under a Flash Flood Warning, fun . . . 


(I live on top of a hill though, it NEVER floods!)

[Cincysnow]

Tornado warning in texas

[Mar66rus2]

My kids are currently on a band trip to Disney, and they head home to OHIO tomorrow night. I am concerned about them driving through Florida/Georgia overnight and into Wednesday.  Will this weather impact their travel, or is it more for during the day?

[ClicheVortex2014]

1 minute ago, Mar66rus2 said:

My kids are currently on a band trip to Disney, and they head home to OHIO tomorrow night. I am concerned about them driving through Florida/Georgia overnight and into Wednesday.  Will this weather impact their travel, or is it more for during the day?

The severe threat for tomorrow in that area will be in the afternoon/early evening. Possibly beginning as early as 2 or 3pm Eastern and ending around 8pm Eastern

[Cincysnow]

New tornado watch includes dallas metro

 

edit: text below

Spoiler

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 92 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 720 PM CDT Mon Apr 4 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North central Texas * Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 720 PM until 200 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to grow upscale into a cluster/line and surge east-southeastward through the Dallas-Fort Worth area and eventually into northeast Texas overnight. A few tornadoes will be possible with supercells in advance of the line, as well as with circulations embedded in the line. Otherwise, damaging winds will become the most common threat with bowing segments, with isolated gusts to 75 mph possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast of Sherman TX to 55 miles south of Dallas TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.

 

Edited April 5, 2022 by Cincysnow
Added text

[ClicheVortex2014]

Supercells are really liking the warm front

[ClicheVortex2014]

Nice sounding from FWD. Good looking hodograph, deep mixed layer, solid EML. 

[Central Illinois]

I'm gonna need this to all pass south of St Louis on thursday since im going to opening day at Busch stadium

[Harberr62]

Any rotation around that DFW cell? To the north I should say ….

 

Edited April 5, 2022 by Harberr62

[ClicheVortex2014]

10 minutes ago, Harberr62 said:

Any rotation around that DFW cell? To the north I should say ….

 

A little bit but there's a gust front advancing to the southwest of it. That's gonna complicate the embedded cells' potential.

0z HRRR. Looks dangerous around 4am-7am local time in S MS

Edited April 5, 2022 by ClicheVortex2014

[cer5059]

Heading to Augusta tomorrow for the first time ever....of course there will be storms probably starting around noon and ruining it 

[ElectricStorm]

Tornado warning with a solid meso just east of Denton 

[Mar66rus2]

1 hour ago, ClicheVortex2014 said:

The severe threat for tomorrow in that area will be in the afternoon/early evening. Possibly beginning as early as 2 or 3pm Eastern and ending around 8pm Eastern

Thank you!!  That makes me feel better as they are not leaving Orlando until after 9 tomorrow night.