TLChip

Just leaving a company Christmas party, feels like the temp has dipped, 0 scientific evidence 🤣

I’m looking to buy some elevation, care to sell some? Pile up dirt till my house is 1,500 at minimum

That’s a bold move cotton ^^

Woke up at 57 degrees this morning, moderate rain on and off all morning. I woke up around 1130 last night and thought I saw lightning, no rumbles though. Must have been that mothership scanning my locale.

I wish more people lived by that philosophy.

I don't think its an awful look, its better than years past anyway. EAR and BSR could foreshadow a more active pattern in January? I assume the PAC could still be a bully. The terrible SE ridge hasn't shown up yet. Some operationals sniffing out a sneaky disturbance between the 19th-22nd too.

CFS has a “skill” issue 🤔

I use ensembles the most, average > one model run, that’s a no brainer. Grace posted the difference of one month between heights and it’s not even in the ball park.

I stopped looking at long term model outputs around late summer/fall. Look at those differences in Graces post, it’s just not worth the time diving into anything past day 7 lol. I can’t believe we had better shots at 14-21 days out on the accuweather forum 10-15 years ago. BSR holds more value over LT and once the pattern changes over they’ve tended to stick for a while. I like our shot at a solid to good winter this year. Warm periods here and there are always expected and help moisture transits move around.

MJ always bringing out some thermo dynamic info 👍

Snow globe flakes, Feta cheese we got it all this am.

Hard to see, tiny flakes IMG_5955.mov

Trend this year, cold over-performing!

Poc pic

Was it the gfs that had the 980 cutter yesterday?